Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Darmstadt
14.0%
Draw
5.9%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Darmstadt
vs
0.65
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).