Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Walsall
21.6%
Draw
18.1%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Walsall
vs
0.88
Newport County
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).