Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Livorno
30.3%
Draw
27.0%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Livorno
vs
1.00
Perugia
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).