Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Tamworth
28.9%
Draw
45.5%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Tamworth
vs
1.42
Oldham
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).