Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Oviedo
24.5%
Draw
27.6%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Oviedo
vs
1.16
Almeria
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).