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DHT: 10CSV

13 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.2%
Genclerbirligi
23.2%
Draw
68.6%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Genclerbirligi

vs
2.09

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.0%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
2.9%
0-5
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).