Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Sevilla
22.7%
Draw
49.9%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sevilla
vs
1.91
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).