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AHT: 01CSV

27 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Genk
28.4%
Draw
28.4%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Genk

vs
1.07

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).