Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
St Pauli
27.3%
Draw
26.8%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
St Pauli
vs
1.15
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).