Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Amorebieta
30.6%
Draw
29.4%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Amorebieta
vs
0.89
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).