Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Hertha
22.8%
Draw
58.8%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Hertha
vs
1.99
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).