Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Cambridge
38.1%
Draw
33.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Cambridge
vs
0.72
Wigan
Markets
BTTS24.0%
Over 0.574.8%
Over 1.539.2%
Over 2.515.8%
Over 3.55.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
25.2%
0-1
18.7%
1-0
16.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
0-3
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-0
1.2%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).