Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Cardiff
29.7%
Draw
25.6%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Cardiff
vs
0.96
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).