Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Norwich
27.1%
Draw
24.7%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Norwich
vs
1.07
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).