Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Sevilla
23.8%
Draw
20.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Sevilla
vs
0.98
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).