Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Worthing
14.6%
Draw
4.1%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Worthing
vs
0.30
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS22.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.0%
1-0
18.6%
3-0
14.5%
0-0
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
1-1
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).