Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Alverca
24.6%
Draw
49.3%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Alverca
vs
1.82
Estoril
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).