Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Exeter
22.5%
Draw
14.5%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Exeter
vs
0.66
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).