Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Holstein Kiel
28.3%
Draw
37.5%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.37
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).