⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01

26 Jul 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
32.1%
Waregem
24.6%
Draw
43.3%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Waregem

vs
1.67

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).