Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Farense
23.0%
Draw
61.4%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Farense
vs
1.67
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).