Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Sevilla
25.5%
Draw
43.4%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sevilla
vs
1.54
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).