Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Metz
14.7%
Draw
11.0%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Metz
vs
0.83
Martigues
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).