Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Exeter
29.1%
Draw
27.4%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Exeter
vs
0.86
Colchester
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).