Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Gillingham
25.5%
Draw
22.3%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Gillingham
vs
0.86
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).