Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Exeter
24.3%
Draw
16.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Exeter
vs
0.63
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).