Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.1%
Spal
27.1%
Draw
44.8%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Spal
vs
1.35
Bologna
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).