Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Sunderland
27.0%
Draw
22.7%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Sunderland
vs
0.98
Leicester
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).