Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Darmstadt
24.3%
Draw
23.1%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Darmstadt
vs
1.21
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).