Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Preston
30.4%
Draw
36.3%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Preston
vs
1.17
Swansea
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).