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22 Sept 2024 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Khimki
27.3%
Draw
30.2%
Orenburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Khimki

vs
1.31

Orenburg

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).