Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Mallorca
25.7%
Draw
13.1%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Mallorca
vs
0.53
Lugo
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
2-0
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).