Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Orenburg
31.1%
Draw
30.5%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Orenburg
vs
1.09
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).