Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Rochdale
25.5%
Draw
24.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Rochdale
vs
0.86
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).