Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Mansfield
27.2%
Draw
26.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Mansfield
vs
0.91
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).