Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Southend
29.9%
Draw
42.4%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Southend
vs
1.32
Barnet
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).