Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Carlisle
18.1%
Draw
67.6%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Carlisle
vs
2.21
Stockport
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).