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AHT: 02CSV

12 May 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Bochum
20.0%
Draw
67.5%
Leverkusen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Bochum

vs
2.19

Leverkusen

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).