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AHT: 10CSV

12 Mar 2016

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Como
22.4%
Draw
14.1%
Cesena

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Como

vs
0.86

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Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).