Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Monza
21.7%
Draw
10.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Monza
vs
0.69
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).