Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Exeter
28.5%
Draw
21.1%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Exeter
vs
0.70
Oldham
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).