Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Padova
29.2%
Draw
25.9%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Padova
vs
1.02
Mantova
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).