Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Valladolid
21.6%
Draw
51.9%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Valladolid
vs
1.97
Almeria
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).