Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Granada
25.7%
Draw
29.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Granada
vs
1.14
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).