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AHT: 01CSV

26 Sept 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Vicenza
27.3%
Draw
45.1%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Vicenza

vs
1.57

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).