Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
St Etienne
26.1%
Draw
35.9%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
St Etienne
vs
1.19
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).