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AHT: 10

09 Mar 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
22.6%
Draw
22.8%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.30

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).