Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Blackburn
30.9%
Draw
20.3%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Blackburn
vs
0.75
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).