Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Marseille
20.5%
Draw
34.4%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Marseille
vs
1.72
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS70.4%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).