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AHT: 01CSV

16 Sept 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.1%
Alcorcon
26.8%
Draw
56.0%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Alcorcon

vs
1.43

Levante

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.9%
0-2
12.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).